Bay Area 511 Fairfield and Suisun Transit Schedule#
GTFS Stop Time Updates Bay Area 511 Fairfield and Suisun Transit Schedule Summary#
Generally, we want better transit user experience. Specifically, the performance metrics we can derive from GTFS RT Trip Updates distills into the following objectives:
Increase prediction reliability and accuracy
Increase the availability and completeness of GTFS RT
Decrease the inconsistency and fluctuations of predictions
| Bay Area 511 Fairfield and Suisun Transit Schedule | ||||||||||
| service_date | # Stop Time Update Messages | % Minutes with 2+ Stop Time Update Message | % Minutes with Accurate Predictions | Prediction Spread / Wobble (minutes) | Avg Stop Time Updates per Minute | % Scheduled Trips with Trip Updates | Bus Catch Likelihood (early + ontime predictions) | Prediction Padding (minutes added to avoid missing bus) | Prediction Error IQR (75th - 25th percentile) (minutes) | Prediction Error 50th percentile (minutes) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-02 | 859,149 | 98.8% | 82.4% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 73.0% | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 2025-06-03 | 868,260 | 98.8% | 79.7% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 76.0% | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 2025-06-04 | 840,309 | 98.8% | 80.3% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 97.0% | 75.0% | 4.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2025-06-05 | 867,624 | 98.8% | 78.9% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 74.0% | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 2025-06-06 | 839,856 | 98.7% | 78.1% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 74.0% | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| 2025-06-07 | 248,163 | 98.7% | 74.5% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 72.0% | 5.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| 2025-06-09 | 813,516 | 98.8% | 86.1% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 71.0% | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 2025-06-10 | 821,976 | 98.9% | 84.3% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 73.0% | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 2025-06-11 | 762,267 | 98.8% | 83.2% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 95.0% | 70.0% | 3.9 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2025-06-12 | 780,690 | 97.8% | 79.6% | 0.1 | 2.9 | 100.0% | 72.0% | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.6 |
| 2025-06-13 | 761,586 | 98.8% | 81.6% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 96.0% | 69.0% | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 2025-06-14 | 251,175 | 98.9% | 80.6% | 0.1 | 3.0 | 100.0% | 65.0% | 4.0 | 1.8 | 0.5 |