BruinBus Schedule#

GTFS Stop Time Updates BruinBus Schedule Summary#

Generally, we want better transit user experience. Specifically, the performance metrics we can derive from GTFS RT Trip Updates distills into the following objectives:

  1. Increase prediction reliability and accuracy

  2. Increase the availability and completeness of GTFS RT

  3. Decrease the inconsistency and fluctuations of predictions

BruinBus Schedule
service_date # Stop Time Update Messages % Minutes with 2+ Stop Time Update Message % Minutes with Accurate Predictions Prediction Spread / Wobble (minutes) Avg Stop Time Updates per Minute % Scheduled Trips with Trip Updates Bus Catch Likelihood (early + ontime predictions) Prediction Padding (minutes added to avoid missing bus) Prediction Error IQR (75th - 25th percentile) (minutes) Prediction Error 50th percentile (minutes)
2025-06-13 43,413 96.2% 37.6% 0.4 3.0 14.0% 62.0% 19.5 6.4 0.3
2025-06-15 46,668 97.8% 18.0% 0.7 3.0 91.0% 84.0% 26.7 15.5 7.6