San Joaquin Schedule#
GTFS Stop Time Updates San Joaquin Schedule Summary#
Generally, we want better transit user experience. Specifically, the performance metrics we can derive from GTFS RT Trip Updates distills into the following objectives:
Increase prediction reliability and accuracy
Increase the availability and completeness of GTFS RT
Decrease the inconsistency and fluctuations of predictions
| San Joaquin Schedule | ||||||||||
| service_date | # Stop Time Update Messages | % Minutes with 2+ Stop Time Update Message | % Minutes with Accurate Predictions | Prediction Spread / Wobble (minutes) | Avg Stop Time Updates per Minute | % Scheduled Trips with Trip Updates | Bus Catch Likelihood (early + ontime predictions) | Prediction Padding (minutes added to avoid missing bus) | Prediction Error IQR (75th - 25th percentile) (minutes) | Prediction Error 50th percentile (minutes) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-01 | 372,278 | 96.1% | 54.8% | 0.2 | 2.9 | 75.0% | 74.0% | 7.6 | 3.7 | 0.8 |
| 2025-06-02 | 1,884,330 | 96.6% | 66.9% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 77.0% | 69.0% | 6.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 |
| 2025-06-03 | 1,866,406 | 96.5% | 66.4% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 80.0% | 69.0% | 6.2 | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| 2025-06-04 | 1,961,126 | 96.7% | 66.9% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 83.0% | 69.0% | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.2 |
| 2025-06-05 | 1,946,440 | 96.6% | 65.0% | 0.2 | 3.1 | 81.0% | 67.0% | 6.1 | 2.8 | 0.1 |
| 2025-06-06 | 1,907,276 | 96.7% | 65.7% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 82.0% | 67.0% | 6.3 | 2.7 | 0.2 |
| 2025-06-07 | 457,094 | 96.1% | 53.9% | 0.3 | 3.0 | 87.0% | 78.0% | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
| 2025-06-08 | 425,754 | 96.5% | 52.3% | 0.3 | 3.0 | 84.0% | 75.0% | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.2 |
| 2025-06-09 | 1,866,536 | 96.7% | 66.3% | 0.3 | 3.1 | 79.0% | 67.0% | 6.2 | 2.7 | 0.2 |
| 2025-06-10 | 1,652,058 | 96.6% | 66.5% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 70.0% | 68.0% | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| 2025-06-11 | 1,926,838 | 96.6% | 66.8% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 80.0% | 66.0% | 6.0 | 2.8 | 0.0 |
| 2025-06-12 | 1,621,624 | 95.7% | 63.9% | 0.2 | 3.0 | 73.0% | 66.0% | 6.2 | 2.9 | 0.1 |
| 2025-06-13 | 1,940,570 | 96.6% | 62.7% | 0.3 | 3.0 | 81.0% | 66.0% | 6.8 | 3.1 | 0.2 |
| 2025-06-14 | 389,048 | 96.3% | 51.4% | 0.3 | 3.0 | 74.0% | 83.0% | 8.4 | 4.0 | 1.4 |
| 2025-06-15 | 306,482 | 96.2% | 51.3% | 0.3 | 3.0 | 82.0% | 74.0% | 9.3 | 4.4 | 1.0 |